Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

The market resolves on May 27th, 2026, and there are only 3 days remaining. Recent news indicates ongoing tensions and flight disruptions in the Middle East, with some reports even suggesting the possibility of airspace closure due to escalating tensions. However, the market price for 'Yes' is currently very low at $0.2085, implying a low probability of a major closure. While past events like the April 2024 closure of western airspace and the January 2026 total closure (though in a different yea