Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

The market is asking about the average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31, 2026, with a threshold of 60 or more. The current price for YES is $0.024, implying a 2.4% probability. Historical data and recent news suggest that while tensions and disruptions can occur, the average daily transits are generally significantly higher than 60. For instance, the IMF Portwatch data, which is the resolution source, often shows daily transits well above this number. The declining price trend fo