Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

The market resolves on May 31st, and with only 7.7 days remaining, the current price of YES at $0.355 suggests a lower than 50% chance of a major airspace closure. Recent news indicates Lufthansa is resuming flights in June, which eases concerns about a prolonged closure. While tensions are rising and US military aircraft are present, this doesn't directly translate to a *major* closure of civilian airspace by Israel itself. The definition of a 'major closure' is quite strict, requiring a broad