US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

With only 3 days remaining until the May 31st deadline and the current market price for YES at $0.1185 (implying an 11.8% probability), the outlook for a US-Iran nuclear deal is extremely low. Recent news indicates that former President Trump is demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program for any deal and is rejecting sanctions relief, which are significant obstacles. Furthermore, Iran continues to enrich uranium to near-weapons-grade levels, complicating talks. The declining price trend over t