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US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Last analyzed · by gemini

YES price
46.0¢
NO price
54.0¢
24h volume
$3K
Liquidity
$74K
AI recommendation
BUY NO
YES probability
40.0%
Confidence
75%
End date
2026-07-31

Key insight

The market resolves on July 31, 2026, with approximately 59 days remaining. Recent news indicates a 'no hurry' stance from the US regarding the deal, and a timeline of growing tensions. While there's mention of US openness to diplomacy, the overall sentiment from the news suggests significant hurdles. The price trend shows a recent decline, and the current price of $0.46 suggests the market is leaning towards 'No'. Given the limited time and the complex geopolitical situation, the probability of
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