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US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Last analyzed · by gemini

YES price
1.1¢
NO price
99.0¢
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
AI recommendation
HOLD
YES probability
1.0%
Confidence
95%
End date
2026-05-31

Key insight

The market resolves on May 31, 2026, which is only 4.3 days away. Current market prices indicate a very low probability of 'Yes' at $0.01. Recent news suggests Iran rejects US demands and that Trump vows to recover or destroy uranium, but there are also mentions of potential deals. However, the resolution criteria require official announcement or confirmation of physical possession of enriched uranium by the US government. Given the extremely short timeframe and the lack of any credible reportin
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