US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Last analyzed · by gemini
YES price
1.1¢
NO price
99.0¢
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
AI recommendation
HOLDYES probability
1.0%
Confidence
95%
End date
2026-05-31
Key insight
The market resolves on May 31, 2026, which is only 4.3 days away. Current market prices indicate a very low probability of 'Yes' at $0.01. Recent news suggests Iran rejects US demands and that Trump vows to recover or destroy uranium, but there are also mentions of potential deals. However, the resolution criteria require official announcement or confirmation of physical possession of enriched uranium by the US government. Given the extremely short timeframe and the lack of any credible reportin