Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

The market resolves on May 31, 2026, with only 4.4 days remaining. Recent news indicates heightened US-Iran tensions, including US strikes and Iranian airspace closure concerns. However, the market price for 'Yes' is very low at $0.1525, implying an 84.8% chance of 'No'. The price trend has been significantly declining over the past 7 days, from $0.42 to $0.15, suggesting a decreasing likelihood of a 'Yes' resolution. While geopolitical tensions are a factor, the lack of a confirmed broad closur