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Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Last analyzed · by gemini

YES price
25.5¢
NO price
74.5¢
24h volume
$144K
Liquidity
$51K
AI recommendation
BUY NO
YES probability
15.0%
Confidence
75%
End date
2026-06-30

Key insight

The market resolves to 'Yes' if Iran publicly agrees to end *all* enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026. Recent news indicates Iran is threatening 90% enrichment if US resumes strikes and is ready to downblend uranium amid talks, but also rejects a 20-year enrichment freeze and demands reparations. The market price of $0.255 for YES suggests a low probability, which aligns with the current geopolitical climate and Iran's historical stance on its nuclear program. The news suggests Iran is engagi
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