Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

The market is currently trading at $0.0215, implying a 2.1% probability for the Iranian regime to fall by June 30, 2026. Given the extremely short time remaining (24.4 days) and the lack of any significant, credible reporting indicating an imminent collapse of the core structures of the Islamic Republic, the probability remains very low. While there have been recent news items about US strikes and energy crises, these do not directly point to the regime's overthrow. The previous mention of Trump