US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?

The market resolves on June 18th, and there are only 3.6 days remaining. Recent news indicates a tentative deal for a 60-day truce extension was reached 17 days ago, which aligns with the market's criteria for a 'Yes' resolution if officially announced. However, other recent news from the last 3 days suggests ongoing conflict and failed negotiations, with Trump planning new strikes and trading attacks. Despite these conflicting reports, the price of YES has been steadily increasing over the past