Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

The market resolves on June 30, 2026, which is very soon. Current geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran are extremely high, with recent news indicating escalating military actions and preparations for potential conflict, not peace. The price trend is sharply declining, and the current price of $0.0465 reflects a very low probability of a peace deal. Given the ongoing hostilities and lack of any diplomatic progress towards a permanent peace deal, the likelihood of such an agreement being