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Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Last analyzed · by gemini

YES price
12.2¢
NO price
87.8¢
24h volume
$10K
Liquidity
$36K
AI recommendation
BUY NO
YES probability
15.0%
Confidence
85%
End date
2026-06-30

Key insight

The market resolves to 'Yes' if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody by June 30, 2026. Recent news indicates that Raul Castro has been indicted by a U.S. grand jury, along with former fighter jet pilots involved in the 1996 shoot-down of civilian planes. While an indictment is a significant legal step, it does not automatically mean he will be taken into U.S. custody. Raul Castro is 95 years old and resides in Cuba. Extradition or capture of a former head of state from Cuba by the U
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