Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

The market resolves to 'Yes' if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace by June 30, 2026, not solely due to weather. Recent news indicates escalating tensions in the Persian Gulf and Middle East, including the IRGC shooting down a US drone and Israeli military strikes on Iran. These events have led to previous airspace closures and travel disruptions. However, the market price for 'Yes' is currently low at $0.2180, suggesting a low implied probability. Despite the geopolitical tensions, t