Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Last analyzed · by gemini
YES price
1.3¢
NO price
98.8¢
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
AI recommendation
BUY NOYES probability
1.0%
Confidence
95%
End date
2026-05-31
Key insight
The market resolves to 'Yes' if the 7-day moving average of transit calls in the Strait of Hormuz reaches 60 by May 31, 2026. With only 3.4 days remaining until the market end date, and current transit calls implied to be significantly below the 60 threshold (given the 'No' price of $0.9875), it is highly improbable that traffic will return to normal levels within this short timeframe. Recent news and price trends also indicate a bearish outlook, with the price declining significantly and report