Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

The market asks whether 60 ships will transit the Strait of Hormuz on any given day by May 31, 2026. The current date is May 22, 2026, leaving only 8.8 days remaining. The current price for YES is $0.135, implying a 13.5% probability. Historical data from IMF Portwatch, the resolution source, is crucial. While the prompt doesn't provide specific daily transit numbers, the low price of YES suggests that such a high threshold (60 ships in a single day) has not been met frequently, if at all, in th