US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

The market resolves on June 7th, and the current price of YES is $0.075, implying a 7.5% probability. Recent news indicates that while there are ongoing negotiations and potential progress on an Iran deal, specifically regarding the Strait of Hormuz and enriched uranium, there has been no official US government announcement of a ceasefire extension or a new agreement as of June 4th, 2026. The market description explicitly requires a 'publicly announced commitment' or 'new peace agreement, ceasef