Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?

The market is currently trading at $0.966, implying a very high probability of Russia capturing Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026. The recent price trend shows a significant increase from $0.14 to $0.97 in the last 7 days, indicating strong market conviction towards a 'Yes' resolution. Given the proximity to the resolution date (9.3 days remaining) and the current high price, it is highly probable that the event has either already occurred or is considered a near certainty by market participants. The ISW