Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

The market resolves to YES if no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occurs by June 30, 2026. Given the current date of May 25, 2026, there are just over 35 days remaining until the deadline. Recent news indicates a persistent diplomatic deadlock and stalled negotiations, with comments from Trump dampening prospects for meetings. The price of YES is currently $0.2090, implying a 20.9% probability, which aligns with the current sentiment and news flow suggesting a low likelihood of a meeting oc