Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?

The market is currently priced at $0.605 for NO, implying a 60.5% chance the opening weekend box office will be $92m or more. The question asks if it will be LESS than $92m (YES). Recent news from The Hollywood Reporter targets $80M-plus, and Deadline previews a potential $160M global opening (which doesn't directly translate to domestic but suggests strong performance). However, Cosmic Book News suggests underperformance, and TheWrap notes Star Wars' current mid-tier franchise status. The recen