Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Last analyzed · by gemini
YES price
12.2¢
NO price
87.8¢
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
AI recommendation
BUY NOYES probability
10.0%
Confidence
85%
End date
2026-05-31
Key insight
The market resolves on May 31, 2026, with only 6.5 days remaining. Recent news indicates Iran is denying agreements to hand over enriched uranium and rejecting US demands. This suggests a lack of progress towards an agreement to end enrichment. The current price of $0.12 for YES reflects a low probability, and the recent news sentiment is bearish for a YES resolution. Given the proximity to the deadline and the negative news flow, the probability of Iran publicly agreeing to end all enrichment b