Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

The market asks if Iran will initiate a major airspace closure (non-weather) between June 9 2026 3PM ET and June 30 2026 11:59 PM ET. Current date is June 12, leaving 18 days. Recent Israeli strikes and rhetoric raise tensions, but no Iranian aviation authority has announced or signaled an imminent broad commercial closure. Past qualifying closures (Jan 2026, Apr 2024) were tied to active large-scale conflict; current reporting shows strikes but not yet the scale or Iranian response that histori